Why Are There Fewer Babies? U.S. Reaches Historic Low in Births

Fertility in the United States hits record low

Women delay motherhood

Growing economic impact

The decline in birth rates in the United States is not new, but the latest data confirms that the trend continues to deepen.

In 2025, the country once again recorded a drop in its fertility rate, reaching the lowest level on record, amid social, economic, and cultural changes that are redefining when and how people decide to start a family, reinforcing the US declining birth rate trend.

Why it matters: The sustained reduction in births not only transforms the country’s social structure, but also has direct implications for the economy, the labor market, and systems such as Social Security.

The US fertility rate declines and extends a two-decade trend

US declining birth rate reaches historic low

The US fertility rate—the number of births per 1,000 women of reproductive age—fell to 53.1 in 2025, down from 53.8 in 2024, continuing a decline that began in 2007.

At the same time, the total number of births also dropped by about 1%, reaching approximately 3.6 million.

This decline is not isolated: it represents nearly a 20% decrease compared to two decades ago, solidifying a phenomenon that was initially linked to the Great Recession but has persisted well beyond its immediate economic impact.

Women delay motherhood in a profound social shift

US declining birth rate reaches historic low – PHOTO: Shutterstock

One of the key factors behind this transformation is the change in the age at which women have children.

While birth rates continue to decline among younger women—especially teenagers and those in their 20s—there has been a slight increase among women over 30.

“Women today have greater control over their reproductive lives; as a result, there are fewer unintended pregnancies than there used to be,” explained Alison Gemmill. “Our life timelines have changed.”

This shift is also linked to broader social patterns: people are marrying later, less frequently, and prioritizing emotional and financial stability before having children.

Having children increasingly depends on stability and context

Decisions about motherhood are no longer driven solely by biological factors, but by a complex set of conditions.

“The largest group consists of women who say they have not found the right partner and do not want to have children alone,” said Sigal Klipstein. “In many cases, they do want children, but prefer to do so within a family context or with economic security.”

This is compounded by modern concerns such as climate change, the economy, artificial intelligence, and the cost of living—factors that influence whether people choose to have children or delay parenthood, deepening the US declining birth rate.

The economic impact worries experts and authorities

US declining birth rate reaches historic low – PHOTO: Shutterstock

Beyond social changes, the decline in births is beginning to raise economic concerns.

Fewer births mean fewer future workers and, therefore, fewer contributors to sustain systems like Social Security.

“Any drop in the birth rate has very limited short-term effects on the economy,” explained economist Samuel Tombs. “It is more of a medium-term drag.”

Population growth is also slowing, driven in part by a significant reduction in immigration, further limiting workforce expansion.

The future depends on younger generations

Attention is now focused on younger generations, particularly those born in the 1990s and part of Generation Z.

This group has shown very low birth rates in their teens and 20s, raising questions about whether they will be able to make up for the delay later in life.

“That particular group will likely tell us a lot about the future of fertility in the United States,” Gemmill warned.

While some historical precedents, such as the 1970s, suggest that motherhood can be delayed without reducing the total number of children, other experts believe the current delay may be harder to reverse.

What’s next for fertility in the United States: a redefinition of the family model

The United States continues to experience population growth, but at an increasingly slower pace.

The demographic balance is becoming more fragile: an aging population without sufficient replacement could strain key economic structures.

At the same time, the trend reflects a deep transformation in individual priorities.

Rather than a rejection of parenthood, the data points to a redefinition of the timing and conditions under which people choose to have children, continuing the US declining birth rate trend.

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SOURCE: The New York Times / CNN