U.S. Warns That 60% of Atlantic Cyclone Activity Still Lies Ahead

60% of Atlantic Cyclone Activity Still Ahead

NOAA Predicts Intense Season

Chantal Only One to Make Landfall

According to EFE, the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued a key warning about the 2025 hurricane season.

Despite a “relatively calm start,” specialists indicate that 60% of the season’s activity has yet to occur.

The warning comes just as the season reaches its climatological peak, marked by September 10.

This means that, even though the tropics may seem calm, the threat of hurricanes and storms is far from over.

The Calm Is Due to Dry Air

U.S. warns that 60% of cyclones are still to come after a quiet start to the season #NoticiasSIN
Read more in our newspaper https://t.co/Ovpz0o33FI https://t.co/NjL63wMreQ pic.twitter.com/KvMokxBdz5

— Noticias SIN (@SIN24Horas) September 9, 2025

Brad Reinhart, senior meteorologist at the NHC, reminded the public that most systems tend to form after the first half of the hurricane season.

“Historically, about 60% of the activity occurs after the peak,” he explained in a video message released by the agency.

The specialist emphasized that the current calm is due to the presence of dry air that has limited cloud and cyclone formation.

However, he warned that conditions can change at any time as the tropical atmosphere reactivates.

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Keeps Watch

U.S. Warns That 60% of Atlantic Cyclone Activity Still Lies Ahead – PHOTO: SHUTTERSTOCK

So far, six named cyclones have been recorded in the Atlantic.

Hurricane Erin and the storms Andrea, Barry, Dexter, Fernand, and Chantal complete the official list for 2025.

Of them all, Chantal has been the only storm to make landfall in the U.S.

Its passage through North Carolina left two people dead in July.

NOAA Forecasts and Pending Risks

Falta 60 % ciclones en temporada FOTO: SHUTTERSTOCK

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) had projected a season “above normal.”

Estimates pointed to between 13 and 18 tropical storms this year.

Of those, between five and nine could become hurricanes at some point in their development.

According to meteorologists, this forecast keeps the risk active for the Atlantic region.

Lessons From Past Hurricanes in the U.S.

Andrew Hagen, another NHC specialist, stressed that the worst scenarios can happen after September.

He recalled that in 2024, three major hurricanes made U.S. landfall after the peak of the hurricane season.

These were Francine, Helene, and Milton, between September and October.

Helene and Milton were particularly devastating, with a combined toll of more than 250 deaths.

Material damages exceeded $120 billion in the southeastern United States.

“What we have seen is that late-season activity tends to concentrate in the western half of the Atlantic basin,” Hagen noted.

This includes the Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the southeastern U.S. coasts.

Authorities stress that these areas will remain under strict surveillance in the coming weeks, until the hurricane season is over.